Economist http://www.wvwnews.net/story.php?id=4311 has some thoughts on current trends, including the formation of a new protest movement in France:
The election results in http://www.wvwnews.net/story.php?id=4425.(1)
In http://www.wvwnews.net/story.php?id=826 deceived them and they now find themselves seriously disoriented. Yes, 62% of the French expect a grave political crisis before the end of his term in office, but this anxiety is not necessarily in line with our thinking. For example, the Left has just won the municipal elections and a poll indicates that a large majority (56%) would be in favor of granting foreigners the right to vote in local elections! Conversely, despite the media hype over May 68, the unions are having trouble mobilizing their troops. The confusion reaches its height when the free-market Right and the CGT (a major French labor union) come together to defend illegal aliens, the former in order to keep salaries low, the latter in the hope of creating a potential base for the social demands of ethnic groups. In short, the political situation is still largely unpredictable.Discontent being the only tangible element, the creation of a vast protest movement would seem to be the best political response. Such an enterprise could come either from right-wing elected officials outside of the establishment, such as the newly created Steering Committee for the New Popular Right, or from members of the UMP establishment who finally become aware of the impasse they are in, or from new men who arise from the people. Such being the case, only a powerful popular movement could force these different components into major action. When our political cafés are suddenly crowded, when our blogs are used by thousands of readers, then we can presume that such a movement is possible.
We will follow these new developments attentively and lucidly. It is true that certain exceptional developments could accelerate the course of events, but in truth, I see none on the horizon for now.
(1) Votes are more and more ethnic. For example, 90% of the black community is voting en bloc for Barack http://www.wvwnews.net/story.php?id=3657 Obama.
(2) Without the immigrant vote that was massively for the socialist candidate, the final tally would have been close to 60/40 in favor of the Right.
http://galliawatch.blogspot.com/2008/05/evaluating-trends.html