A populist win will effectively kill Obamacare
As little as a week ago this seemed inconceivable.There was just now way a Republican was going to win an election toreplace Ted Kennedy in the U.S. Senate .. yet here we are on electionday and polls are showing a win for Scott Brown.
Today we willreally find out what the people think of the Democrats and their plansto take over 18% of the economy, and things aren’t looking all thatwell for Democrat Coakley. The Politico/Inside Advantage poll showsBrown up by 9 percentage points.
- Brown is up 64-32 with independents and is winning 20% of thevote from people who supported Barack Obama in 2008 while Coakley isgetting just 4% of the McCain vote.
- Brown’s voters continue tobe much more enthusiastic than Coakley’s. 80% of his say they’re ‘veryexcited’ about voting Tuesday while only 60% of hers express thatsentiment. But the likely electorate now reports having voted forBarack Obama by 19 points, up from 16 a week ago, and a much smallerdrop from his 26 point victory in the state than was seen in Virginia.
- Those planning to turn out continue to be skeptical of the Democratic health care plan, saying they oppose it by a 48/40 margin.
- Coakley’sfavorability dropped from 50% to 44% after a week filled with perceivedmissteps. Brown’s negatives went up a lot but his positives onlyactually went from 57% to 56%, an indication that attacks against himmay have been most effective with voters already planning to supportCoakley but ambivalent toward Brown.
- 56% of voters in the statethink Brown has made a strong case for why he should be elected whilejust 41% say the same of Coakley. Even among Coakley’s supporters only73% think she’s made the argument for herself, while 94% of Brown’ssupporters think he has.
It seems that Scott Brown has thevoters excited and that is what gets more people the polls. I stillfind it hard to believe that a Republican will actually pull through,but I would just LOVE for the voters of Massachusetts to prove me wrong.
Hasthe future of ObamaCare come down to a Massachusetts Senate race? Looksthat way … but the Democrats will certainly look for another angle.But that’s where we are at and today is voting day. So .. which way doyou think things are going to go in Massachusetts today? Will theDemocrats turn out the voters and eke out a win for Coakley; or willthe Scott Brown surge carry through to the ballot boxes? And … ifBrown wins, how will the Democrats spin this?